23 Oct

How Geopolitical Tensions Are Affecting Oil Prices

WRITTEN BY Gordon Kristopher FEATURED IN Commodities

Crude oil futures

December US crude oil (UCO) (SCO) (OIL) futures contracts advanced 0.4% and were trading at $52.04 per barrel in electronic exchange at 2:15 AM EST on October 23, 2017. In contrast, December E-Mini S&P 500 (SPY) futures contracts fell 0.01% to 2,573.75 during the same time in electronic trading.

Moves in oil prices impact oil producers (XLE) (VDE) like Murphy Oil (MUR), Marathon Oil (MRO), Sanchez Energy (SN), and Goodrich Petroleum (GDP).

How Geopolitical Tensions Are Affecting Oil Prices

Supply outages in Kurdistan region 

Supply outages in the Kurdistan region supported crude oil (BNO) (USO) (USL) prices last week. Goldman Sachs said that the impact of geopolitical tensions in Iraq is not certain. Some sources say that supply disruptions in Kurdistan could have led to the fall in crude oil exports by 200,000 bpd (barrels per day) last week compared to the normal exports of ~550,000 bpd.

The Iraqi military said that it seized Batma and Ain Zala oil fields located in Zummar. Iraq’s government requested oil major BP (BP) to develop the oil fields in Kirkuk in Kurdistan. Around 10% and 30% of Iraq’s crude oil production and crude oil reserves come from Iraq’s Kurdistan region, respectively. Meanwhile, on October 19, 2017, Chevron (CVX) said that the conflict between Kurdistan and Iraq has led to the shutting down of its production activity in Kirkuk.

Impact

Iraq and Kurdistan are dependent on crude oil export revenues. Their political tensions could be short-lived due to their financial obligations and high debt. Some traders believe that Iraq will have full control over the pipeline connecting Kurdistan to the Turkish port of Ceyhan by this weekend, which would ease the upward pressure on oil (BNO) (DBO) (UWT) prices. Changes in oil prices impact energy producers (VDE) (IYE) like Shell (RDS.A) and ExxonMobil (XOM).

Next, we’ll look at how the US dollar influences crude oil prices.

Latest articles

US new vehicle sales stood at 1.26 million units in February 2019, down about 2.8% from 1.30 million units in February 2018.

25 Mar

Oil Bulls: Is a Recession Coming?

WRITTEN BY Robert Scott

On March 15–22, US crude oil May futures rose 0.4% and closed at $59.04 per barrel.

25 Mar

Will Micron’s Revenue Growth Remain Sluggish?

WRITTEN BY Scarlett Ness

Micron has given a weaker-than-expected revenue forecast for the third quarter but expects memory chip demand to recover in the fourth quarter.

Signet Jewelers (SIG) is expected to report weak fourth-quarter results on April 3.

25 Mar

Energy Sector: Analyzing Key Events This Week

WRITTEN BY Robert Scott

The EIA is scheduled to release its oil and natural gas inventory data on March 27–28, which could be a short-term driver for oil and natural gas prices.

On March 22, J.P. Morgan (JPM) downgraded PPG Industries' (PPG) rating to "underweight" from "neutral."